Differences in Outcomes by Place of Origin among Hispanic Patients with Kidney Failure.

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Hispanic patients are known to have a higher risk of kidney failure and lower rates of home dialysis use and kidney transplantation than non-Hispanic White patients. However, it is unknown whether these outcomes differ within the Hispanic community, which is heterogeneous in its members' places of origins. Using United States Renal Data System data, the authors found similar adjusted rates of home dialysis use for patients originating from places outside the United States and US-born Hispanic patients, whereas the adjusted risk of mortality and likelihood of transplantation differed depending on place (country or territory) of origin. Understanding the heterogeneity in kidney disease outcomes and treatment within the Hispanic community is crucial in designing interventions and implementation strategies to ensure that Hispanic individuals with kidney failure have equitable access to care. BACKGROUND: Compared with non-Hispanic White groups, Hispanic individuals have a higher risk of kidney failure yet lower rates of living donor transplantation and home dialysis. However, how home dialysis, mortality, and transplantation vary within the Hispanic community depending on patients' place of origin is unclear. METHODS: We identified adult Hispanic patients from the United States Renal Data System who initiated dialysis in 2009-2017. Primary exposure was country or territory of origin (the United States, Mexico, US-Puerto Rico, and other countries). We used logistic regression to estimate differences in odds of initiating home dialysis and competing risk models to estimate subdistribution hazard ratios (SHR) of mortality and kidney transplantation. RESULTS: Of 137,039 patients, 44.4% were US-born, 30.9% were from Mexico, 12.9% were from US-Puerto Rico, and 11.8% were from other countries. Home dialysis rates were higher among US-born patients, but not significantly different after adjusting for demographic, medical, socioeconomic, and facility-level factors. Adjusted mortality risk was higher for individuals from US-Puerto Rico (SHR, 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.08) and lower for Mexico (SHR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.78 to 0.81) and other countries (SHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.81 to 0.86) compared with US-born patients. The adjusted rate of transplantation for Mexican or US-Puerto Rican patients was similar to that of US-born patients but higher for those from other countries (SHR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.30). CONCLUSIONS: Hispanic people from different places of origin have similar adjusted rates of home dialysis but different adjusted rates of mortality and kidney transplantation. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms underlying these observed differences in outcomes.

Magnesium Depletion Score is Associated with Long-Term Mortality in Chronic Kidney Diseases: A Prospective Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Magnesium deficiency is common in patients with chronic kidney diseases (CKD) due to restricted magnesium intake and impaired magnesium reabsorption. Based on pathophysiological risk factors influencing kidney magnesium reabsorption, a magnesium depletion score (MDS) was developed. Using MDS as a novel indicator for assessing body magnesium status, we hypothesized that it was associated with clinical prognosis. METHODS: We conducted a prospective population-based cohort study using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999-2014 to explore the impact of MDS on the clinical outcomes of CKD patients. Propensity score-matched analyses were conducted to increase comparability. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were cardiovascular-cause and cancer-cause mortality. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, 3294 CKD patients were divided into 2 groups: MDS ≤ 2 (N = 1647), and MDS > 2 (N = 1647). During a median follow-up of 75 months, Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that MDS > 2 was associated with worse 5- and 10-year overall survival (78.5% vs 73.4%; 53.1% vs 43.1%, P < 0.001). After adjusting for confounding variables, MDS was found to be an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (HR:1.34, 95% CI 1.20-1.50, P < 0.001). MDS > 2 was also associated with higher cardiovascular-cause mortality (16.2% VS 11.6%, P = 0.005). Multivariate competing risk analysis revealed that MDS > 2 was an independent risk factor (HR: 1.33, 95% CI 1.06-1.66, P = 0.012). Subgroup analyses reported that MDS > 2 increased all-cause mortality and cardiovascular-cause mortality only in patients with inadequate magnesium intake (P < 0.001, P < 0.001) but not in those with adequate intake (P = 0.068, P = 0.920). CONCLUSIONS: A magnesium depletion score > 2 was independently associated with higher long-term cardiovascular-cause and all-cause mortality in CKD patients.

Sex disparities in mortality among patients with kidney failure receiving dialysis.

Females are known to have a better survival rate than males in the general population, but previous studies have shown that this superior survival is diminished in patients on dialysis. This study aimed to investigate the risk of mortality in relation to sex among Korean patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD) or peritoneal dialysis (PD). A total of 4994 patients with kidney failure who were receiving dialysis were included for a prospective nationwide cohort study. Cox multivariate proportional hazard models were used to determine the association between sex and the risk of cause-specific mortality according to dialysis modality. During a median follow-up of 5.8 years, the death rate per 100 person-years was 6.4 and 8.3 in females and males, respectively. The female-to-male mortality rate in patients on dialysis was 0.77, compared to 0.85 in the general population. In adjusted analyses, the risk of all-cause mortality was significantly lower for females than males in the entire population (hazard ratio [HR] 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-0.87, P < 0.001). No significant differences in the risk of cardiovascular and infection-related deaths were observed according to sex. The risk of mortality due to sudden death, cancer, other, or unknown causes was significantly lower for females than males in the entire population (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.56-0.78, P < 0.001), in patients on HD (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.90, P = 0.003), and in patients on PD (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.34-0.70, P < 0.001). The survival advantage of females in the general population was maintained in Korean dialysis patients, which was attributed to a lower risk of noncardiovascular and noninfectious death.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00931970.

Competing risks of death and kidney failure in a cohort of Australian adults with severe chronic kidney disease.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the competing risks of death (any cause) and of kidney failure in a cohort of Australian adults with severe chronic kidney disease. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study; analysis of linked data from the Tasmanian Chronic Kidney Disease study (CKD.TASlink), 1 January 2004 - 31 December 2017. PARTICIPANTS: All adults in Tasmania with incident stage 4 chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m2 ). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Death or kidney failure (defined as eGFR below 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 or initiation of dialysis or kidney transplantation) within five years of diagnosis of stage 4 chronic kidney disease. RESULTS: We included data for 6825 adults with incident stage 4 chronic kidney disease (mean age, 79.3 years; SD, 11.1 years), including 3816 women (55.9%). The risk of death increased with age - under 65 years: 0.18 (95% CI, 0.15-0.22); 65-74 years: 0.39 (95% CI, 0.36-0.42); 75-84 years, 0.56 (95% CI, 0.54-0.58); 85 years or older: 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77-0.80) - while that of kidney failure declined - under 65 years: 0.39 (95% CI, 0.35-0.43); 65-74 years: 0.12 (95% CI, 0.10-0.14); 75-84 years: 0.05 (95% CI, 0.04-0.06); 85 years or older: 0.01 (95% CI, 0.01-0.02). The risk of kidney failure was greater for people with macroalbuminuria and those whose albumin status had not recently been assessed. The risks of kidney failure and death were greater for men than women in all age groups (except similar risks of death for men and women under 65 years of age). CONCLUSIONS: For older Australians with incident stage 4 chronic kidney disease, the risk of death is higher than that of kidney failure, and the latter risk declines with age. Clinical guidelines should recognise these competing risks and include recommendations about holistic supportive care, not just on preparation for dialysis or transplantation.

Extensive cell salvage and postoperative outcomes following thoracoabdominal and descending aortic repair.

OBJECTIVE: Cell salvage (CS) reduces intraoperative blood transfusion. However, it may cause deformity of the red blood cells and loss of coagulation factors, which may lead to unwanted sequelae. Thus, we hypothesized that extensive CS would lead to adverse outcomes after descending/thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (D/TAAA) repair. METHODS: Between 1991 and 2017, 2012 patients undergoing D/TAAA repair were retrospectively reviewed. After we excluded patients without reported intraoperative CS amount, patients were enrolled in the study (N = 1474) and divided into 2 groups: low CS (salvaged units <40, N = 983) and high CS (salvaged units ≥40, N = 491). Analyses were performed to verify the extensive CS as the risk factor for adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Preoperative demographics showed that the high-CS group had a significantly greater incidence of male patients (72% vs 58%), heritable aortic disease (24% vs 17%), redo (27% vs 20%), greater glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73 m2, 75 vs 66) and more extensive aneurysms (TAAA extent II-IV). The high-CS group had significantly more postoperative complications compared with the low-CS group, including respiratory failure, renal failure, cardiac complications, neurologic deficits, bleeding, and 30-day mortality. Multivariable analysis confirmed high CS was an independent risk factor for renal failure along with long bypass time, older age, and extent of repairs. There was an incremental risk of renal failure and 30-day mortality proportional to salvaged cell unit (P < .001 in both). CONCLUSIONS: Increased salvaged cell units were associated with adverse postoperative outcomes after D/TAAA repairs. Risk of renal failure and mortality increased proportionally to the salvaged cell units.

Outcomes of death and prolonged renal insufficiency in ethylene glycol poisoned patients.

BACKGROUND: Despite the severity of ethylene glycol intoxication, there is a paucity of studies that analyze prognostic factors. This study aims to determine prognostic factors with impact on core outcomes like death and prolonged kidney injury (KI) in ethylene glycol poisoned patients. METHODS: We retrospectively assessed prevalence, clinical and biochemical features in one large data set from two regional hospitals from the North-East region of Romania, between January 2012 and October 2017. Secondly, we compared prognostic factors of cases treated with dialysis plus antidote (N = 28 patients) with cases who received antidote only and supportive therapy (N = 28 patients). RESULTS: Of the 56 cases included, 16 deaths (28.57%) were recorded. The symptomatology at admission was more severe among patients requiring hemodialysis: a lower mean value for initial pH, lower initial alkaline reserve (AR) and higher mean values for initial serum creatinine (Cr1). The data analysis (survivors/deceased) showed a correlation between pH, Glasgow Coma Score (GCS), and increased mortality. In addition, we found a correlation between initial mean values for pH, AR (mmol/L), Cr1 (mg/dL), and peak Cr24 (mg/dL) with outcomes of RI or death. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with survivors, patients who died or had prolonged kidney injury were more likely to exhibit clinical signs such as coma, seizures, and acidosis. Hemodialysis and antidote should be started early and continued until acidosis is corrected.

Burden of kidney failure from atheroembolic disease and association with survival in people receiving dialysis in Australia and New Zealand: a multi-centre registry study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of mortality in kidney failure (KF). Patients with KF from atheroembolic disease are at higher risk of cardiovascular disease than other causes of KF. This study aimed to determine survival on dialysis for patients with KF from atheroembolic disease compared with other causes of KF. METHODS: All adults (≥ 18 years) with KF initiating dialysis as the first kidney replacement therapy between 1 January 1990 and 31 December 2017 according to the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant registry were included. Patients were grouped into either: KF from atheroembolic disease and all other causes of KF. Survival outcomes were assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis adjusted for patient-related characteristics. RESULTS: Among 65,266 people on dialysis during the study period, 334 (0.5%) patients had KF from atheroembolic disease. A decreasing annual incidence of KF from atheroembolic disease was observed from 2008 onwards. Individuals with KF from atheroembolic disease demonstrated worse survival on dialysis compared to those with other causes of KF (HR 1.80, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.61-2.03). The respective one- and five-year survival rates were 77 and 23% for KF from atheroembolic disease and 88 and 47% for other causes of KF. After adjustment for patient characteristics, KF from atheroembolic disease was not associated with increased patient mortality (adjusted HR 0.93 95% CI 0.82-1.05). CONCLUSIONS: Survival outcomes on dialysis are worse for individuals with KF from atheroembolic disease compared to those with other causes of KF, probably due to patient demographics and higher comorbidity.

Sex differences in mortality among binational cohort of people with chronic kidney disease: population based data linkage study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate sex differences in mortality among people with kidney failure compared with the general population. DESIGN: Population based cohort study using data linkage. SETTING: The Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), which includes all patients receiving kidney replacement therapy in Australia (1980-2019) and New Zealand (1988-2019). Data were linked to national death registers to determine deaths and their causes, with additional details obtained from ANZDATA. PARTICIPANTS: Of 82 844 people with kidney failure, 33 329 were female (40%) and 49 555 were male (60%); 49 376 deaths (20 099 in female patients; 29 277 in male patients) were recorded over a total of 536 602 person years of follow-up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative measures of survival, including standardised mortality ratios, relative survival, and years of life lost, using general population data to account for background mortality (adjusting for country, age, sex, and year). Estimates were stratified by dialysis modality (haemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis) and for the subpopulation of kidney transplant recipients. RESULTS: Few differences in outcomes were found between male and female patients with kidney failure. However, compared with the general population, female patients with kidney failure had greater excess all cause deaths than male patients (female patients: standardised mortality ratio 11.3, 95% confidence interval 11.2 to 11.5, expected deaths 1781, observed deaths 20 099; male patients: 6.9, 6.8 to 6.9, expected deaths 4272, observed deaths 29 277). The greatest difference was observed among younger patients and those who died from cardiovascular disease. Relative survival was also consistently lower in female patients, with adjusted excess mortality 11% higher (95% confidence interval 8% to 13%). Average years of life lost was 3.6 years (95% confidence interval 3.6 to 3.7) greater in female patients with kidney failure compared with male patients across all ages. No major differences were found in mortality by sex for haemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis. Kidney transplantation reduced but did not entirely remove the sex difference in excess mortality, with similar relative survival (P=0.83) and years of life lost difference reduced to 2.3 years (95% confidence interval 2.2 to 2.3) between female and male patients. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the general population, female patients had greater excess deaths, worse relative survival, and more years of life lost than male patients, however kidney transplantation reduced these differences. Future research should investigate whether systematic differences exist in access to care and possible strategies to mitigate excess mortality among female patients.

Intermediate Renal Outcomes, Kidney Failure, and Mortality in Obese Kidney Donors.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is associated with the two archetypal kidney disease risk factors: hypertension and diabetes. Concerns that the effects of diabetes and hypertension in obese kidney donors might be magnified in their remaining kidney have led to the exclusion of many obese candidates from kidney donation. METHODS: We compared mortality, diabetes, hypertension, proteinuria, reduced eGFR and its trajectory, and the development of kidney failure in 8583 kidney donors, according to body mass index (BMI). The study included 6822 individuals with a BMI of <30 kg/m2, 1338 with a BMI of 30-34.9 kg/m2, and 423 with a BMI of ≥35 kg/m2. We used Cox regression models, adjusting for baseline covariates only, and models adjusting for postdonation diabetes, hypertension, and kidney failure as time-varying covariates. RESULTS: Obese donors were more likely than nonobese donors to develop diabetes, hypertension, and proteinuria. The increase in eGFR in obese versus nonobese donors was significantly higher in the first 10 years (3.5 ml/min per 1.73m2 per year versus 2.4 ml/min per 1.73m2 per year; P<0.001), but comparable thereafter. At a mean±SD follow-up of 19.3±10.3 years after donation, 31 (0.5%) nonobese and 12 (0.7%) obese donors developed ESKD. Of the 12 patients with ESKD in obese donors, 10 occurred in 1445 White donors who were related to the recipient (0.9%). Risk of death in obese donors was not significantly increased compared with nonobese donors. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity in kidney donors, as in nondonors, is associated with increased risk of developing diabetes and hypertension. The absolute risk of ESKD is small and the risk of death is comparable to that of nonobese donors.

AQP1 Promoter Variant, Water Transport, and Outcomes in Peritoneal Dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Variability in ultrafiltration influences prescriptions and outcomes in patients with kidney failure who are treated with peritoneal dialysis. Variants in AQP1, the gene that encodes the archetypal water channel aquaporin-1, may contribute to that variability. METHODS: We gathered clinical and genetic data from 1851 patients treated with peritoneal dialysis in seven cohorts to determine whether AQP1 variants were associated with peritoneal ultrafiltration and with a risk of the composite of death or technique failure (i.e., transfer to hemodialysis). We performed studies in cells, mouse models, and samples obtained from humans to characterize an AQP1 variant and investigate mitigation strategies. RESULTS: The common AQP1 promoter variant rs2075574 was associated with peritoneal ultrafiltration. Carriers of the TT genotype at rs2075574 (10 to 16% of patients) had a lower mean (±SD) net ultrafiltration level than carriers of the CC genotype (35 to 47% of patients), both in the discovery phase (506±237 ml vs. 626±283 ml, P = 0.007) and in the validation phase (368±603 ml vs. 563±641 ml, P = 0.003). After a mean follow-up of 944 days, 139 of 898 patients (15%) had died and 280 (31%) had been transferred to hemodialysis. TT carriers had a higher risk of the composite of death or technique failure than CC carriers (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.24 to 2.33; P = 0.001), as well as a higher risk of death from any cause (24% vs. 15%, P = 0.03). In mechanistic studies, the rs2075574 risk variant was associated with decreases in AQP1 promoter activity, aquaporin-1 expression, and glucose-driven osmotic water transport. The use of a colloid osmotic agent mitigated the effects of the risk variant. CONCLUSIONS: A common variant in AQP1 was associated with decreased ultrafiltration and an increased risk of death or technique failure among patients treated with peritoneal dialysis. (Funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation and others.).

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) predicts critical illness and kidney failure in patients admitted to the intensive care unit.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an inflammatory biomarker and risk factor for kidney diseases, with a potential prognostic value in critically ill patients. In this monocentric prospective study, we measured plasma suPAR levels immediately after ICU admission in unselected 237 consecutive patients using a turbidimetric assay. Primary objective was the prognostic value for ICU- and 28-day mortality. Secondary objectives were association with sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, coagulation and inflammation markers, AKI-3 and differences in prespecified subgroups. Median suPAR levels were 8.0 ng/mL [25th-75th percentile 4.3-14.4], with lower levels in ICU survivors than non-survivors (6.7 vs. 11.6 ng/mL, p < 0.001). SuPAR levels were higher in COVID-19, kidney disease, moderate-to-severe liver disease, and sepsis. ICU mortality increased by an odds ratio (OR) of 4.7 in patients with the highest compared to lowest quartile suPAR. Kaplan-Meier overall survival estimates at 3 months were 63% and 49%, in patients with suPAR below/above 12 ng/mL (log-rank p = 0.027). Due to an observed interaction between SOFA score and suPAR, we performed a random forest method identifying cutoffs. ICU mortality was 53%, 17% and 2% in patients with a SOFA score > 7, SOFA ≤ 7 & suPAR > 8 ng/mL, and SOFA score ≤ 7 & suPAR ≤ 8 ng/mL, respectively. suPAR was a significant predictor for AKI-3 occurrence (OR per doubling 1.89, 95% CI: 1.20-2.98; p = 0.006). suPAR levels at ICU admission may offer additional value for risk stratification especially in ICU patients with moderate organ dysfunction as reflected by a SOFA score ≤ 7.

DNAm-based signatures of accelerated aging and mortality in blood are associated with low renal function.

BACKGROUND: The difference between an individual's chronological and DNA methylation predicted age (DNAmAge), termed DNAmAge acceleration (DNAmAA), can capture life-long environmental exposures and age-related physiological changes reflected in methylation status. Several studies have linked DNAmAA to morbidity and mortality, yet its relationship with kidney function has not been assessed. We evaluated the associations between seven DNAm aging and lifespan predictors (as well as GrimAge components) and five kidney traits (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio [uACR], serum urate, microalbuminuria and chronic kidney disease [CKD]) in up to 9688 European, African American and Hispanic/Latino individuals from seven population-based studies. RESULTS: We identified 23 significant associations in our large trans-ethnic meta-analysis (p < 1.43E-03 and consistent direction of effect across studies). Age acceleration measured by the Extrinsic and PhenoAge estimators, as well as Zhang's 10-CpG epigenetic mortality risk score (MRS), were associated with all parameters of poor kidney health (lower eGFR, prevalent CKD, higher uACR, microalbuminuria and higher serum urate). Six of these associations were independently observed in European and African American populations. MRS in particular was consistently associated with eGFR (ß = - 0.12, 95% CI = [- 0.16, - 0.08] change in log-transformed eGFR per unit increase in MRS, p = 4.39E-08), prevalent CKD (odds ratio (OR) = 1.78 [1.47, 2.16], p = 2.71E-09) and higher serum urate levels (ß = 0.12 [0.07, 0.16], p = 2.08E-06). The "first-generation" clocks (Hannum, Horvath) and GrimAge showed different patterns of association with the kidney traits. Three of the DNAm-estimated components of GrimAge, namely adrenomedullin, plasminogen-activation inhibition 1 and pack years, were positively associated with higher uACR, serum urate and microalbuminuria. CONCLUSION: DNAmAge acceleration and DNAm mortality predictors estimated in whole blood were associated with multiple kidney traits, including eGFR and CKD, in this multi-ethnic study. Epigenetic biomarkers which reflect the systemic effects of age-related mechanisms such as immunosenescence, inflammaging and oxidative stress may have important mechanistic or prognostic roles in kidney disease. Our study highlights new findings linking kidney disease to biological aging, and opportunities warranting future investigation into DNA methylation biomarkers for prognostic or risk stratification in kidney disease.

High-performance dialyzers and mortality in maintenance hemodialysis patients.

Few data are available regarding the association of dialyzer type with prognosis. In Japan, dialyzers are classified as types I, II, III, IV, and V based on ß2-microglobulin clearance rates of < 10, < 30, < 50, < 70, and ≥ 70 mL/min, respectively. We investigated the relationship of the 5 dialyzer types with 1-year mortality. This nationwide cohort study used data collected at the end of 2008 and 2009 by the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy Renal Data Registry. We enrolled 203,008 patients on maintenance hemodialysis who underwent hemodialysis for at least 1 year and were managed with any of the 5 dialyzer types. To evaluate the association of dialyzer type with 1-year all-cause mortality, Cox proportional hazards models and propensity score-matched analyses were performed. After adjustment of the data with clinicodemographic factors, the type I, II, and III groups showed significantly higher hazard ratios (HRs) than the type IV dialyzers (reference). After adjustment for Kt/V and ß2-microglobulin levels, the HRs were significantly higher in the type I and II groups. After further adjustment for nutrition- and inflammation-related factors, the HRs were not significantly different between the type IV and type I and II groups. However, type V dialyzers consistently showed a significantly lower HR. With propensity score matching, the HR for the type V dialyzer group was significantly lower than that for the type IV dialyzer group. Additional long-term trials are required to determine whether type V dialyzers, which are high-performance dialyzers, can improve prognosis.

N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide predicts both all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in Japanese hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: The association between N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level and long-term mortality in Japanese hemodialysis patients has not been fully assessed. METHODS: This prospective, multicenter study included 1428 hemodialysis outpatients. Baseline NT-proBNP levels were measured at the first hemodialysis session of the week and participants were followed for 5 years. The areas under the curve were calculated from receiver operating characteristic curves. Groups determined by quartiles of baseline NT-proBNP level were assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. The association between NT-proBNP level and mortality was assessed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: During the 5-year follow-up, we observed 370 deaths and 256 censored cases. The areas under the curve of pre-hemodialysis NT-proBNP for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality after 1 year were 0.75 and 0.78, respectively, and significantly greater than the areas under the curve at the 3- and 5-year follow-up. Cut-off values for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality after 1 year were 4550 and 5467 ng/L, respectively (sensitivity: 82% and 81%; specificity: 59% and 64%). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the group with pre-hemodialysis NT-proBNP ≥ 8805 ng/L had increased all-cause mortality (P < 0.001) and cardiovascular disease mortality (P < 0.001). Finally, multivariate Cox analysis showed that NT-proBNP level was associated with all-cause mortality (P < 0.001) and cardiovascular disease mortality (P = 0.004) independently from other clinical parameters. CONCLUSION: NT-proBNP is a useful marker to predict both all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in hemodialysis patients.

A severity-of-illness score in patients with tuberculosis requiring intensive care.

BACKGROUND: We previously retrospectively validated a 6-point severity-of-illness score aimed at identifying patients at risk of dying of tuberculosis (TB) in the intensive care unit (ICU). Parameters included septic shock, HIV infection with a CD4 count <200 cells/µL, renal dysfunction, a ratio of partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen (P/F) <200 mmHg, a chest radiograph demonstrating diffuse parenchymal infiltrates, and no TB treatment on admission. OBJECTIVES: To prospectively validate the severity-of-illness scoring system in patients with TB requiring intensive care, and to refine and simplify the score in order to expand its clinical utility. METHODS: We performed a prospective observational study with a planned post hoc retrospective analysis, enrolling all adult patients with confirmed TB admitted to the medical ICU of a tertiary hospital in Cape Town, South Africa, from 1 February 2015 to 31 July 2018. The admission data of all adult patients with TB requiring admission to the ICU were used to calculate the 6-point severity-of-illness score and a refined 4-point score (based on the planned post hoc analysis). Descriptive statistics and χ2 or Fisher's exact tests (where indicated) were performed on dichotomous categorical variables, and t-tests on continuous data. Patients were categorised as hospital survivors or non-survivors. RESULTS: Forty-one of 78 patients (52.6%) died. The 6-point scores of non-survivors were higher than those of survivors (mean (standard deviation (SD)) 3.5 (1.3) v. 2.7 (1.2); p=0.01). A score ≥3 v. <3 was associated with increased mortality (64.0% v. 32.1%; odds ratio (OR) 3.75; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25 - 10.01; p=0.01). Post hoc, a P/F ratio <200 mmHg and no TB treatment on admission failed to predict mortality, whereas any immunosuppression did. A revised 4-point score (septic shock, any immunosuppression, acute kidney injury and lack of lobar consolidation) demonstrated higher scores in non-survivors than survivors (mean (SD) 2.8 (1.1) v. 1.6 (1.1); p<0.001). A score ≥3 v. ≤2 was associated with increased mortality (78.4% v. 29.3%; OR 8.76; 95% CI 3.12 - 24.59; p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The 6-point severity-of-illness score identified patients at increased risk of death. We were able to derive and retrospectively validate a simplified 4-point score with superior predictive power.

Accounting for the Competing Risk of Death to Predict Kidney Failure in Adults With Stage 4 Chronic Kidney Disease.

Importance: Kidney failure risk prediction has implications for disease management, including advance care planning in adults with severe (ie, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] category 4, [G4]) chronic kidney disease (G4-CKD). Existing prediction tools do not account for the competing risk of death. Objective: To compare predictions of kidney failure (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <10 mL/min/1.73 m2 or initiation of kidney replacement therapy) from models that do and do not account for the competing risk of death in adults with G4-CKD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study linked population-based laboratory and administrative data (2002-2017) from 2 Canadian provinces (Alberta and Manitoba) to compare 3 kidney risk models: the standard Cox regression, cause-specific Cox regression, and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model. Participants were adults with incident G4-CKD (eGFR 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m2). Data analysis occurred between July and December 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: The performance of kidney risk models at prespecified times and across categories of baseline characteristics, using calibration, reclassification, and discrimination (for competing risks). Predictive characteristics were age, sex, albuminuria, eGFR, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. Results: The development and validation cohorts included 14 619 (7070 [48.4%] men; mean [SD] age, 74.1 [12.8] years) and 2295 (1152 [50.2] men; mean [SD] age, 71.9 [14.0] years) adults, respectively. The 3 models had comparable calibration up to 2 years from entry. Beyond 2 years, the standard Cox regression overestimated the risk of kidney failure. At 4 years, for example, risks predicted from standard Cox were 40% for people whose observed risks were less than 30%. At 2 years (risk cutoffs 10%-20%) and 5 years (risk cutoffs 15%-30%), 788 (5.4%) and 2162 (14.8%) people in the development cohort were correctly reclassified into lower- or higher-risk categories by the Fine-Gray model and incorrectly reclassified by standard Cox regression (the opposite was observed in 272 patients [1.9%] and 0 patients, respectively). In the validation cohort, 115 (5.0%) individuals and 389 (16.9%) individuals at 2 and 5 years, respectively, were correctly reclassified into lower- or higher-risk categories by the Fine-Gray model and incorrectly reclassified by the standard Cox regression; the opposite was observed in 98 (4.3%) individuals and 0 individuals, respectively. Differences in discrimination emerged at 4 to 5 years in the development cohort and at 1 to 2 years in the validation cohort (0.85 vs 0.86 and 0.78 vs 0.8, respectively). Performance differences were minimal during the entire follow-up in people at lower risk of death (ie, aged ≤65 years or without cardiovascular disease or diabetes) and greater in those with a higher risk of death. At 5 years, for example, in people aged 65 years or older, predicted risks from standard Cox were 50% where observed risks were less than 30%. Similar miscalibration was observed at 5 years in people with albuminuria greater than 30 mg/mmol, diabetes, or cardiovascular disease. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, predictions about the risk of kidney failure were minimally affected by consideration of competing risks during the first 2 years after developing G4-CKD. However, traditional methods increasingly overestimated the risk of kidney failure with longer follow-up time, especially among older patients and those with more comorbidity.

Association between baseline LDL-C and prognosis among patients with coronary artery disease and advanced kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is significantly associated with improved prognosis in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). However, LDL-C reduction does not decrease all-cause mortality among CAD patients when renal function impairs. The association between low baseline LDL-C (< 1.8 mmol/L) and mortality is unknown among patients with CAD and advanced kidney disease (AKD). The current study aimed to evaluate prognostic value of low baseline LDL-C level for all-cause death in these patients. METHODS: In this observational study, 803 CAD patients complicated with AKD (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2) were enrolled between January 2008 to December 2018. Patients were divided into two groups (LDL-C < 1.8 mmol/L, n = 138; LDL-C ≥ 1.8 mmol/L, n = 665). We used Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox regression analyses to assess the association between baseline low LDL-C levels and long-term all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 803 participants (mean age 67.4 years; 68.5% male), there were 315 incidents of all-cause death during a median follow-up of 2.7 years. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that low LDL-C levels were associated with worse prognosis. After adjusting for full 24 confounders (e.g., age, diabetes, heart failure, and dialysis, etc.), multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LDL-C level (< 1.8 mmol/L) was significantly associated with higher risk of all-cause death (adjusted HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.01-1.89). CONCLUSIONS: Our data demonstrated that among patients with CAD and AKD, a lower baseline LDL-C level (< 1.8 mmol/L) did not present a higher survival rate but was related to a worse prognosis, suggesting a cautiousness of too low LDL-C levels among patients with CAD and AKD.

[Monitoring and telematic control of people with kidney transplant and suspected COVID-19 infection.] / Seguimiento y control telemático a personas con trasplante renal y sospecha de infección por COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: People with Kidney Transplantation require immunosuppressant treatments and this classifies them as a population at risk for virus and/or bacterial infections. The objective of the study was to describe the follow-up of transplanted people with suspected COVID19 infection. METHODS: Descriptive, cross-sectional, observational study with prospective follow-up carried out between March and June 2020. Sociodemographic and clinical data were recorded for the assessment, control and follow-up of the cases. The results were expressed with means and standard deviation, median and interquartile range, or frequencies and percentages. The chi-square test was used to compare qualitative variables and the Student's T test to compare quantitative variables with normal distribution. If they did not follow a normal distribution, the Mann Whitney U test was used. The level of statistical significance was established at p<0.05. RESULTS: A total of 56 patients were included, with a mean of 62.73±13.01 years and a median of 39.5 [7.5; 93] months transplanted. 2.48±2.69 calls/patient were made during a period of 3.46±4.41 days. Virtual follow-up was performed with 100% (n=56) and 71.43% (n=40) required hospital admission at some point. 28.57% (n=16) of the people evaluated were managed at home. The PCR test was performed on 85.71% (n=48) of the study population, being positive in 48.21% (n=27). 29.62% (n=8) of the positive cases required invasive mechanical ventilation and 33.33% (n=9) died. The mortality rate in the study population is 4.17 times higher than that presented in the data from the registries in the general population. CONCLUSIONS: According to the mortality data, it is essential to maintain close contact with the main objective of referring the case to the hospital system at the slightest suspicion of complication. Remote monitoring is offered as a positive opportunity for the control of transplant recipients who require close monitoring by the nursing team.

OBJETIVO: Las personas con Trasplante Renal requieren tratamientos con inmunosupresores y esto los clasifica como población de riesgo para infecciones de virus y/o bacterias. El objetivo del estudio fue describir el seguimiento a personas trasplantadas con sospecha de infección por COVID-19. METODOS: Estudio observacional descriptivo de corte transversal con seguimiento prospectivo llevado a cabo entre marzo y junio de 2020. Se registraron datos sociodemográficos y clínicos para la valoración, control y seguimiento de los casos. Los resultados se expresaron con medias y desviación estándar, mediana y rango intercuartílico o frecuencias y porcentajes Se utilizó el test de chi-cuadrado para comparar variables cualitativas y la prueba T de student para comparar variables cuantitativas con distribución normal. Si no seguían una distribución normal se utilizó el test U de Mann Whitney. Se estableció el nivel de significación estadística en p<0,05. RESULTADOS: Se incluyó a un total de 56 pacientes con una media de 62,73± 13,01 años y una mediana de 39,5 [7,5; 93] meses trasplantados. Se realizaron 2,48±2,69 llamadas/paciente durante un periodo de 3,46±4,41 días. Se realizó seguimiento virtual con el 100% (n=56) y el 71,43% (n=40) requirió ingreso hospitalario en algún momento. El 28,57% (n=16) de las personas valoradas se logró controlar en domicilio. Se realizó el test PCR al 85,71% (n=48) de la población estudiada, siendo positivo en el 48,21% (n=27). El 29,62% (n=8) de los casos positivos requirió de ventilación mecánica invasiva y el 33,33% (n=9) falleció. La tasa de mortalidad en la población estudiada es 4,17 veces superior a la presentada en los datos de los registros en población general. CONCLUSIONES: Según el dato de mortalidad, se hace indispensable mantener el contacto estrecho con el objetivo principal de derivar el caso al sistema hospitalario a la menor sospecha de complicación. El seguimiento a distancia se ofrece como una oportunidad positiva para el control de las personas trasplantadas que requieran un seguimiento estrecho por parte del equipo de enfermería.

Predictors of Survival in Chronic Hemodialysis Patients: A 10-Year Longitudinal Follow-Up Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Risk factors of mortality in chronic hemodialysis patients have not yet been sufficiently evaluated. In particular, chronological transits and interactions of the impact of risk factors have rarely been described. METHODS: This study is a post hoc analysis of the participants in the Olme-sartan Clinical Trial in Okinawan Patients under OKIDS (OCTOPUS) study conducted between June 2006 and June 2011. We additionally followed up on the prognosis of the participants until July 31, 2018. Standardized univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the influences of the participants' baseline characteristics on all-cause mortality. We also evaluated chronological changes in the impacts of risk factors, interactions among predictors, and the influence of missing values using sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Of the 469 original trial participants, 461 participants were evaluated. The median time of follow-up was 10.2 years. A total of 211 (45.8%) participants were deceased. The leading causes of death were infection (n = 72, 34.1%) and cardiovascular disease (n = 66, 31.3%). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the impact of diabetes mellitus, history of coronary intervention, and hypoalbuminemia were significant risk factors for mortality during the whole follow-up period. During the early follow-up period (≤3 years), standardized univariate Cox regression analyses revealed that history of amputation (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.61, p < 0.001), lower dry weight, higher cardiothoracic ratio, and lower potassium levels were statistically significant risks. In those who survived for longer than 3 years, a history of stroke (HR = 1.73, p = 0.006), higher systolic blood pressure, lower serum sodium levels, and higher levels of hemoglobin, and serum phosphate were significant risks. We also observed a stable interaction between the impacts of serum phosphate and albumin on all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: In chronic hemodialysis patients, targets to improve the short-term prognosis and long-term prognosis are not equivalent. Hyperphosphatemia was a significant risk factor for the all-cause mortality among patients with normal serum albumin levels but not among patients with compromised albumin levels.

Risk of renal failure and death when renal arteries are involved in endovascular aortic aneurysm repair.

OBJECTIVE: Endovascular abdominal aortic repair can involve the incorporation of renal arteries. Revascularization after intentional or unintentional renal artery (RA) coverage is not always technically successful, and the loss of a single RA may result in the need for postoperative dialysis. Thus, we compared the outcomes after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) stratified by RA involvement (RAI). METHODS: Patient data from the Vascular Quality Initiative from 2009 to 2018 registry were analyzed. The exclusion criteria were preoperative dialysis, missing RAI data, and repair above the superior mesenteric artery. The repair type cohorts were defined as (1) no RAI (NRAI), (2) RAI with revascularization (RAI-R), and (3) RAI with no revascularization (RAI-NR). A sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding ruptured presentations. The primary outcome was the need for postoperative dialysis. The secondary outcomes were 30-day mortality, dialysis at follow-up, postoperative renal function, and 2-year survival. Multivariate analysis was used to determine the independent predictors for postoperative dialysis. The 2-year survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier log-rank test. RESULTS: Of 54,020 patients in the EVAR and TEVAR (thoracic EVAR)/complex EVAR modules in the Vascular Quality Initiative, 25,724 met the criteria for inclusion (NRAI, n = 24,879; RAI-R, n = 733; RAI-NR, n = 112). The demographics and comorbidities were similar among the three groups. The RAI-NR group had more frequently had ruptured or symptomatic aneurysms. The postoperative dialysis requirement was higher in the RAI-NR group (NRAI, 0.7%; RAI-R, 2.2%; RAI-NR, 17%; P < .0001), as were the 30-day mortality and dialysis requirement at follow-up. On multivariate analysis, RAI-R (odds ratio [OR], 2.2; P = .03) and RAI-NR (OR, 5.9; P < .0001) were independent predictors of postoperative dialysis and remained so after excluding ruptured presentations (RAI-R: OR, 3; P = .003; RAI-NR: OR, 22.3; P < .0001). Other independent predictors of the need for postoperative dialysis were worse preoperative renal function, a symptomatic presentation, any preoperative or intraoperative blood transfusion, and larger blood loss (≥200 mL). Excluding those with rupture, the overall survival at 2 years on Kaplan-Meier analysis was lower for the RAI-NR group (NRAI, 92%; RAI-R, 89%; RAI-NR, 80%; P = .004). CONCLUSIONS: RAI is highly predictive of the need for postoperative and permanent dialysis after EVAR. RAI-NR was associated with lower overall survival. These risks should be considered when planning and performing EVAR and should be weighed against the risks of open repair when considering the treatment options.